It is obvious that most bloggers will be sharing their
year-end results as we have arrived to the last day of 2017. It was a good year
for global equities and it would be a shame to have missed this opportunity.
In the early months, I have sold stakes in DBS, City Dev,
FCOT, CRCT and FCL at decent margins. As they are common well known stocks, it
is not hard to notice them (though City Dev was never seen in any portfolio I
have witnessed). At the same time, I re-invested the profits to
under-appreciated shares like Singtel and Wilmar.
The biggest mistake in timing was to invest in
ComfortdelGro when it was around $2.47. I exited it at a slight loss with no
regrets before it got worst in the later months. However, I believed its share
price may recover one day given some time (but I prefer to park my money
elsewhere with perhaps faster possible returns). In the same year, there were
short term trades made which led to further contra losses.
With STI’s "slower" returns as compared to overseas equities such as USA, my STI portfolio earnings were eroded by the losses
mentioned above and this led to an overall average performance in
Singapore.
I was however “lucky” to have ventured my risk
appetite overseas and more specifically the great America. This not only
boosted the overall portfolio performance in 2017, it was like a comeback feat when
days left in 2017 were numbered. In case anyone is wondering if my portfolio consists
of cyptocurrencies, the answer is no as of now while my view on it is pretty neutral.
In October 2017, this stock pick came after some tedious
analysis and it paid off in effort and luck. I bought a small holding at USD47.47 for 2 months, selling it at a 43.45% profit. Could it have been sold earlier, it
would have been a 50%+ profit. What I have learnt and experienced here is how currency conversions gains/losses can really impact your earnings, the
same it does to companies we have studied so often. In recent days, I have to
let go of FSLR for 4 good reasons:
1) the great gains in share price may
lose its poise soon due to profit taking.
2) The price is no longer cheap and
attractive.
3) There is a lack of possible near catalyst other than further contract wins due to its newly introduced Series 6 modules.
4) Due to its volatility, it may be necessary
for the price to first dip before it can rise higher to break resistance at USD70.65.
All in all, the overall portfolio performance had
almost double the performance in 2016 and I am quite pleased with this jump. Despite the satisfactory returns, I did not managed to beat the STI index in 2017 when it was achieved in 2016. Since 2017 has been so well for the equity markets, it will be harder for it to be brighter in 2018. Thus, it may be a realistic aim to maintain a similar target return in 2018 as 2017.
Overall Portfolio:
• Total Realized + Paper Gain: 12.71% (includes paper losses in current market)
• Total Realized + Paper Gain: 12.71% (includes paper losses in current market)
Portfolio in STI index:
• Overall Realized Gain:
6.97%
• Total Realized + Paper Gain: 5.22%
• Total Realized + Paper Gain: 5.22%
Portfolio in NASDAQ Index:
• Overall Realized
Gain: 34.4% (43.45%
deducting conversion loss and commission fees)
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